Abstract
The virtual power plant (VPP) facilitates the coordinated optimization of diverse forms of electrical energy through the aggregation and control of distributed energy resources (DERs), offering as a potential resource for frequency regulation to enhance the power system flexibility. To fully exploit the flexibility of DER and enhance the revenue of VPP, this paper proposes a multi-temporal optimization strategy of VPP in the energy-frequency regulation (EFR) market under the uncertainties of wind power (WP), photovoltaic (PV), and market price. Firstly, all schedulable electric vehicles (EVs) are aggregated into an electric vehicle cluster (EVC), and the schedulable domain evaluation model of EVC is established. A day-ahead energy bidding model based on Stackelberg game is also established for VPP and EVC. Secondly, on this basis, the multi-temporal optimization model of VPP in the EFR market is proposed. To manage risks stemming from the uncertainties of WP, PV, and market price, the concept of conditional value at risk (CVaR) is integrated into the strategy, effectively balancing the bidding benefits and associated risks. Finally, the results based on operational data from a provincial electricity market demonstrate that the proposed strategy enhances comprehensive revenue by providing frequency regulation services and encouraging EV response scheduling.
IN line with China’s goals of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality, the National Energy Administration published the “Blue Book of New Power System Development” in June, 2023 [
The current focus of research in the field of VPP lies in three main areas: dynamic aggregation [
Amidst the ongoing evolution of electricity market reforms, various regions in China have sequentially introduced the policies about VPP participation in the ancillary service market. These regulations are designed to incentivize VPPs to leverage their inherent flexibility, contributing auxiliary services including reserve capacity, peak shaving, and frequency regulation to the power system. A game-theoretic method is employed in [
To enhance demand-side capacity and strengthen response capabilities, electric vehicles (EVs) have gained attention as unique electric loads with storage and load attributes, thereby emerging as a primary aggregation target for VPP [
The bidding behavior of VPP in the DA market can be likened to portfolio behavior [
This paper proposes a multi-temporal optimization strategy of VPP in the EFR market under uncertainties, and establishes a Stackelberg game model between VPP and EV to maintain the interests of both parties. The major contributions of this paper are as follows.
1) This paper aggregates all EVs participating in VPP scheduling as an electric vehicle cluster (EVC). An evaluation model of EVC schedulable domain is established, and a Stackelberg game model between VPP and EV is proposed to maintain the interest relationship between them effectively.
2) This paper proposes a multi-temporal optimization strategy for VPP to coordinate internal entities participating in the EFR market. The proposed strategy comprehensively addresses distinct decision objectives of VPP in these two market categories and enhances the overall revenue of VPP.
3) This paper introduces the concept of CVaR in the proposed strategy to manage the risks caused by the uncertainties of WP, photovoltaic (PV), and electricity prices when participating in the EFR market. This provides a reference for VPP operators to develop market strategies based on their risk aversion level.
According to the “Virtual Power Plant Construction and Operation Management Code” of a specific province of China [

Fig. 1 Market coordination optimization strategy of VPP.
In this subsection, deterministic scenarios are employed to capture the uncertainties of WP, PV, and DA market prices. A multitude of scenarios are generated using a sampling method based on probability density functions derived from forecasting errors. To accurately capture the distribution range of forecasting errors, Latin hypercube sampling (LHS) is employed. It is necessary to generate many scenarios to accurately describe uncertainties, but this significantly increases the computational burden of the model. Therefore, it is necessary to reduce the number of generated scenarios while ensuring a certain level of computational accuracy, to obtain a set of typical scenarios along with their corresponding probabilities. In this paper, the K-means++ algorithm is utilized to reduce scenarios. It allows for updating centroids by traversing the dataset and overcomes the dependency on initial centroids compared with the K-means algorithm [
The integration of EVs into the power system exhibits inherent stochastic behavior, and their participation in VPP scheduling is contingent upon the preferences of individual user. To achieve effective scheduling of EVs, all EVs participating in VPP scheduling are aggregated as an EVC in this paper, and an assessment model for the EVC scheduling domain is established.
The dispatchable domain of EV is determined by factors such as its charging and discharging power limitations as well as the available power capacity. Thus, this paper defines the dispatchable domain of EV as encompassing both the dispatchable power domain and its dispatchable energy domain. The model for assessing the dispatchable domain of an individual EV is presented as:
(1) |
Due to variations in the connection time of individual EVs to the power system, their dispatchable period intervals also differ. To ensure consistent dispatchable period intervals, a binary variable is introduced to represent the grid connection and disconnection status of each EV. The scheduling hours of all EVs are extended so that they maintain scheduling consistency. Subsequently, for the sake of simplifying the computational process, the MS method [

Fig. 2 Illustration of EVC dispatchable domain mapping process.
(2) |
The decision variables of individual EVs are transformed into the decision variables of the EVC using MS method, which simplifies the problem-solving process. Moreover, the instantaneous energy fluctuations within the EVC schedulable domain, induced by the connection and disconnection of an individual EV, can detrimentally influence the accuracy of the EVC dispatchable domain assessment model. To address this issue, this paper introduces the variable serving as a representation for the energy step changes during grid connection and off-grid moments of an EV, as shown in (3).
(3) |
According to (2) and (3), the EVC dispatchable domain can be expressed as .
In the DA stage, the VPP initially collects historical data from EVs willing to participate in scheduling. This process yields the historical dispatchable domains of individual EVs. Subsequently, the dispatchable domain of EVC is assessed using the evaluation model, resulting in a dataset of historical dispatchable domains of EVC. Finally, predictive algorithms are applied to process the dataset and determine the DA dispatchable domain. In the RT stage, the dispatchable domain of each time is calculated based on the rolling optimization idea by combining the RT data of EVs, enabling the recalculation of the dispatchable domain of EVC based on the latest information available.
The strategic model of VPP can be categorized into two components: the DA joint bidding model and the RT adjustment model, based on its participation in the EFR market.
The DA joint bidding model is formulated as a bi-level optimization framework based on Stackelberg game. The upper level comprises the VPP optimization model, which incorporates CVaR to account for uncertainty and risk considerations. It establishes a multi-objective optimization model that aims to maximize revenue while minimizing risk. By coordinating the operation of internal units, the VPP devises an optimal joint bidding model and determines the charging and discharging prices for the EVC. The lower level consists of the EVC optimization model, which targets minimizing the payment cost while ensuring efficient energy utilization. Based on the VPP charging and discharging prices, this model optimizes the charging and discharging power for each instance to incentivize EV users to participate in scheduling.
1) Upper-layer VPP Optimization Model
1) Objective function
The VPP aims to optimize its revenue by maximizing the difference between benefits and costs:
(4) |
(5) |
(6) |
(7) |
(8) |
(9) |
(10) |
Equations (
2) CVaR objective function considering uncertainty risk
To consider the uncertainty risk of WP, PV, and DA market price, this paper uses the CVaR [
In the upper-layer VPP optimization model, firstly, the maximum revenue achievable through the DA bidding model in each scenario is calculated. Secondly, the maximum expected revenue of the DA bidding model is determined by weighting the sum of scenario probabilities. Lastly, the objective of risk minimization is incorporated by introducing a risk aversion coefficient, transforming the multi-objective problem of the upper-layer model into a single-objective problem. The final objective function can be expressed as:
(11) |
A larger indicates a more conservative VPP and a higher risk aversion.
3) Constraints
To ensure the safe and stable operation of the power system, there exists a transmission power limit between the VPP and the main power:
(12) |
For the GT, the operational constraints are mainly the upper and lower limits of the output power and climb rate.
(13) |
(14) |
(15) |
For the energy storage equipment, the operational constraints are mainly the upper and lower limits of the output power and the upper and lower limits of capacity, as shown in (16) and (17).
(16) |
(17) |
(18) |
The constraints for frequency regulation capacity declaration mainly involve the remaining capacity constraint after ESS charging and discharging and the frequency regulation mileage constraints.
(19) |
(20) |
(21) |
Controllable load constraint needs to ensure that the load demand does not change during the day.
(22) |
(23) |
The power balance constraint is given as:
(24) |
To align the charging and discharging price formulated by the VPP with the prevailing market conditions, the VPP establishes pricing based on the time-of-use electricity price of a specific province of China.
(25) |
2) Lower-level EVC Optimization Model
1) Objective function
The charging and discharging operations of EVC are carried out with the primary goal of minimizing the payment cost. This objective function is expressed as:
(26) |
2) Constraints
Based on the EVC dispatchable domain assessment model, the former EVC dispatchable domain is calculated and the EVC charging and discharging are constrained, as shown in (27).
(27) |
In the RT stage, power output is fine-tuned within a range of ±10% of the deviation from the winning bid of the DA market, taking into account RT data. Meanwhile, the scheduling of ESS is optimized to respond to the AGC command. The objective of this stage is to minimize the deviation of RT output from the result of the winning bid and response to AGC commands, as shown in (28).
(28) |
In response to the AGC command, the ESS should not exceed the declared frequency regulation capacity as:
(29) |
The constraints of ESS remain consistent with (16)-(18), with the addition of upward and downward response power due to frequency regulation signals affecting the charging and discharging power.
The remaining constraints in the RT stage are comparable to those in the DA stage. Please refer to (12)-(15) and (24) for detailed information of these constraints.
In the DA joint bidding model, the VPP and EVC are engaged in a Stackelberg game relationship due to conflicting interests. Since both the upper-layer VPP optimization model and lower-layer EVC optimization model are the first-order functions, the Stackelberg game model established in this paper possesses a unique equilibrium solution under the given constraint conditions. However, considering the presence of non-continuous terms in the objective functions of both upper and lower layers, a numerical optimization method based on the Karush-Kuhn-Tucker (KKT) condition [
Thus, the objective function of the single-level problem can be reformulated as:
(30) |
To validate the effectiveness of the proposed strategy, a case study is conducted using the electricity market of a specific province of China. The time-of-use electricity price data for the province are presented in
Time | Price (¥/MWh) |
---|---|
Peak period (08:00-11:00, 17:00-23:00) | 1004.53 |
Normal period (07:00-08:00, 13:00-17:00, 23:00-24:00) | 676.53 |
Valley period (00:00-07:00, 11:00-13:00) | 375.87 |

Fig. 3 DA and RT market prices.
Number | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 500 | 400 | 400 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 |
2 | 460 | 300 | 300 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
Number | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 0.95 | 0.95 | 10 | 6 |
2 | 7 | 0 | 15 | 0.90 | 0.90 | 10 | 9 |
In this paper, Monte Carlo simulation is utilized to generate historical and RT EV data. It is assumed that all EVs exhibit uniformity in their battery capacity and maximum charging and discharging power. The EVs have a battery capacity of 32 kWh and a maximum charging and discharging power of 6.6 kW. The SOC ranges from 0.15 to 0.95, with a charging and discharging efficiency of 90%. Two types of EVs are considered in the EVC: nighttime grid-connected EVs and daytime grid-connected EVs. The grid-connection behavior parameters of EVs are presented in
Type | Number | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Nighttime | ||||
Daytime |
Note: and denote normal and uniform distributions, respectively.
To portray the uncertainties of WP, PV, and market price, LHS is used to generate 200 scenarios. These scenarios are then reduced to 5 using the K-means++ algorithm, as shown in

Fig. 4 Generation and reduction of uncertainty scenarios. (a) Market prices for all scenarios. (b) Market prices for five scenarios. (c) PV power for all scenarios. (d) PV power for five scenarios. (e) WP for all scenarios. (f) WP for five scenarios.
Scenario | Probability |
---|---|
1 | 0.130 |
2 | 0.155 |
3 | 0.165 |
4 | 0.285 |
5 | 0.265 |

Fig. 5 Dispatchable domains of EVC. (a) Dispatchable power domain. (b) Dispatchable energy domain.
As illustrated in
1) Revenue Analysis with Different Risk Aversion Coefficients
In [
Therefore, on this basis, this paper comprehensively considers the risks caused by the three uncertainties, and uses CVaR to comprehensively analyze the impact of uncertainty risks on VPP revenue based on uncertainty scenarios.
The outcomes of the analysis regarding the DA expected revenues of VPP considering various risk aversion coefficients and their corresponding CVaR are presented in
DA expected revenue (¥) | CVaR (¥) | |
---|---|---|
0.0 | 152051 | 151986 |
0.2 | 152039 | 151659 |
0.4 | 151895 | 151467 |
0.6 | 151652 | 151258 |
0.8 | 150987 | 150785 |
1.0 | 150224 | 149976 |
As can be seen from

Fig. 6 Efficient frontier curve of expected revenue concerning CVaR.
This paper categorizes the risk attitude of VPP into five classifications: aggressive, more aggressive, neutral, more conservative, and conservative, based on their varying degrees of risk aversion. As depicted in
2) Analysis of Effectiveness of VPP Optimization Strategy
To validate the economic viability of the proposed strategy, three comparative cases are established, considering the uncertainty risk () discussed above.
1) Case 1: the VPP solely participates in the energy market, with EVC undertaking orderly charging and discharging. The charging price follows the time-of-use price shown in
2) Case 2: the VPP solely participates in the energy market, with EVC undertaking orderly charging and discharging. In this case, both the charging and discharging prices are set by the VPP through the Stackelberg game.
3) Case 3: the VPP participates in the EFR market, while EVC continues orderly charging and discharging. The charging and discharging prices are set by the VPP through the Stackelberg game, which aligns with the proposed strategy.
To demonstrate the influence of distinct risk attitudes on VPP dispatch strategies, an additional three sets of comparative experiments are introduced. The cases are described as follows.
1) Case 4: the risk aversion coefficient is 0.2, and the other conditions are the same as Case 3.
2) Case 5: the risk aversion coefficient is 0.4, and the other conditions are the same as Case 3.
3) Case 6: the risk aversion coefficient is 0.8, and the other conditions are the same as Case 3.
Upon conducting the optimization solution calculation, the comparison of revenues in each case is shown in
Case | DA market (¥) | RT market (¥) | Total revenue (¥) | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Energy market revenue | Frequency regulation market revenue | VPP operating cost | VPP internal revenue | Total market revenue | EVC payment cost | Energy market revenue | Frequency regulation market revenue | ||
1 | 55163 | 0 | 33950 | 119700 | 140913 | 8817 | 4962 | 0 | 145375 |
2 | 57134 | 0 | 34399 | 116840 | 139575 | 5957 | 6219 | 0 | 145794 |
3 | 55874 | 13559 | 34589 | 116808 | 151652 | 5923 | 5155 | -937 | 156622 |
4 | 56274 | 13376 | 34393 | 116794 | 152051 | 5912 | 5065 | -923 | 156193 |
5 | 55988 | 13328 | 34316 | 116895 | 151895 | 5923 | 5031 | -945 | 155981 |
6 | 54936 | 13464 | 34367 | 116954 | 150987 | 5933 | 5134 | -934 | 155187 |
As illustrated in
Compared with Case 2, the revenue in Case 3 increases by 7.4%. This notable improvement primarily stems from the simultaneous participation of VPP in both the energy and frequency regulation markets. Despite yielding relatively lower revenue in the energy market, the VPP achieves greater benefits in the frequency regulation market. The distinguishing factor between Cases 2 and 3 lies in the dispatching of ESS for frequency regulation response. This distinction underscores the capacity of VPP to attain higher revenue while incurring lower costs in the frequency regulation market.
By contrasting Cases 3-6, the process of transitioning from a risk aversion coefficient of 0.8 to 0.2 represents a shift from a conservative to an aggressive risk attitude, and the revenue of VPP in the energy market gradually increases. This suggests that aggressive VPP operators are more inclined to participate in market transactions. The income of the frequency regulation market changes little, indicating that the uncertainty risk has a smaller impact on the frequency regulation market. In the RT market, Cases 4 and 5 exhibit lower returns, attributable to significant deviations between the RT and DA outputs of WP and PV, resulting in substantial market deviation costs. In the analysis of the ultimate revenue outcomes, it is evident that aggressive VPP operators stand to gain higher returns, but are also exposed to uncertainty risks, leading to increased deviation costs and a subsequent reduction in the overall revenue.
3) Analysis of Optimization Results of VPP
1) VPP participation in DA EFR market
The optimization of ESS output in the joint bidding decision process is illustrated in

Fig. 7 Optimization of ESS output in joint bidding decision process.

Fig. 8 Charging and discharging prices and scheduling strategy of EVC.
According to
Reference [

Fig. 9 Comparison of different strategies in DA market of VPP. (a) Power purchased and sold in DA market. (b) EV charging and discharging power in DA market.
As shown in
2) VPP participation in RT EFR market

Fig. 10 Analysis results of electricity purchased and sold in RT energy market.

Fig. 11 Results of VPP’s RT response to AGC commands.

Fig. 12 Detailed comparison of DA and RT charging/discharging for EVC.
As can be observed in
As shown in
This paper proposes a multi-temporal optimization strategy for VPP participating in the EFR market, considering the uncertainties of WP, PV, and market prices. Through simulation analysis, the following conclusions have been drawn.
1) The established EVC dispatchable domain assessment model exhibits a deviation rate of merely 5% when assessing the disparities between DA and RT dispatchable domains for EVC. This reduction in deviations between DA and RT dispatchable domains is advantageous for enhancing the centralized management of EVs by VPP.
2) The Stackelberg game model established between VPP and EVC results in a 32% reduction in user costs for EVC. This demonstrates a positive impact on incentivizing the active participation of EV users in scheduling activities, effectively addressing the issue of balancing interests between VPPs and EVs. Notably, the charging and discharging prices set by VPP for EV dispatching serve as a reference for incentivizing EV users’ participation in scheduling.
3) The incorporation of the CVaR theory allows for a balanced consideration of the risk-revenue relationship associated with uncertainties in WP, PV, and market price. This method guides VPP operators in formulating a bidding strategy based on their risk aversion levels.
4) The proposed strategy enables the coordinated operation of EVs and other members for electricity market trades. It effectively harnesses the flexible potential of DERs and achieves the synergy of various forms of DERs.
5) The simulation results indicate that the VPP effectively dispatches the ESS in collaboration with other members to fulfill the frequency regulation response and provide frequency regulation services to the power system. The collaborative behavior has increased VPP revenue by 7.4%, while giving full play to the fast charging and discharging capabilities of ESS.
NOMENCLATURE
Symbol | —— | Definition |
---|---|---|
—— | Dispatchable domain of electric vehicle cluster (EVC) | |
—— | Confidence level | |
—— | The maximum percentage of load allowed to be shifted | |
—— | Charging/discharging cost factor | |
—— | Auxiliary variable indicating fraction of virtual power plant (VPP) revenue over for each scenario | |
—— | Charging and discharging efficiencies of the | |
—— | Charging and discharging efficiencies of each electric vehicle (EV) | |
—— | Power purchase and sale prices of VPP in day-ahead (DA) energy market at time t | |
—— | Frequency regulation capacity and mileage compensation price in DA frequency regulation market at time t | |
- | —— | Introduced binary variables at time t |
—— | Grid connection/disconnection status of each EV | |
—— | Binary variables indicating operating, start, and stop states of the gas turbine (GT) at time t | |
- | —— | Introduced dual variables at time t |
—— | EV charging and discharging prices in DA energy market at time t | |
—— | The minimum and maximum values of charging price at time t set to be 0.8 and 1.2 by VPP | |
—— | The minimum and maximum values of discharging price at time t set to be 0.8 and 1.3 by VPP | |
—— | Time-of-use charging and discharging prices for EV users at time t | |
—— | Probability corresponding to scenario s | |
—— | Value at risk (VaR) of VPP revenue | |
—— | Frequency regulation deviation penalty factor taken as 1.8 | |
—— | Risk aversion coefficient indicating degree of risk aversion of VPP that ranges from 0 to 1 | |
—— | Fixed, start, and stop costs of the GT | |
—— | Power sale price and subsidy from VPP to load customers | |
—— | Charging/discharging cost for EVs | |
—— | Operating costs of GT and ESS in DA energy market at time t | |
—— | Conditional value at risk (CVaR) of VPP revenue | |
, | —— | The minimum and maximum dispatchable power of the EV at time t |
—— | Battery capacity of the ESS | |
—— | Initial and final charges for the EV | |
—— | The minimum and maximum battery capacities of the EV | |
—— | Total revenue of VPP in DA energy market | |
—— | Upward and downward automatic generation control (AGC) frequency regulation commands | |
—— | Electricity sale coefficient () | |
—— | Operating slope of the segment cost of the GT | |
—— | A very big number | |
—— | Frequency regulation mileage factor | |
—— | Set of EVs in EVC | |
—— | Number of ESSs | |
—— | The maximum charging and discharging power of EVC at time t | |
—— | The maximum charging and discharging power of the EV | |
—— | Power after controllable load transfer and load transferred during demand response period | |
—— | Declared purchased and sold electrical energeis of VPP in DA energy market at time t | |
—— | EV charging and discharging power at time t | |
—— | Charging and discharging power of the ESS at time t | |
—— | The segment output of the GT at time t | |
—— | The minimum and maximum outputs of the | |
—— | The maximum charging and discharging power of the ESS | |
—— | Capacity and mileage of the ESS at time t | |
—— | The maximum frequency regulation capacity allowed for the ESS | |
—— | Predicted value of wind power (WP) and photovoltaic (PV) in DA energy market at time t | |
—— | Power of load demand at time t | |
—— | Charging and discharging power of the ESS in response to AGC command at time t | |
—— | Revenues of VPP participating in DA energy market and frequency regulation market at time t | |
—— | Payment costs from EVC and load to VPP at time t | |
—— | Declared frequency regulation capacity in frequency regulation market at time t | |
—— | Climb rate of the GT | |
—— | Battery power at initial moment and moment T | |
—— | The minimum and maximum power of EVC at time t | |
—— | Typical set of scenarios and index of scenario | |
—— | VPP power sales in DA stage | |
—— | State of charge (SOC) of the ESS at time t | |
—— | The minimum and maximum SOC allowed | |
—— | for the ESS | |
—— | Grid connection (EV arriving) time and grid disconnection (EV leaving) time | |
—— | EV dispatchable hour and dispatchable time slot for the EV | |
—— | The maximum power of VPP purchased and sold | |
—— | Binary variables indicating purchasing and selling status of VPP in DA energy market, and charging/discharging statuses of ESS and EV at time t |
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