Journal of Modern Power Systems and Clean Energy

ISSN 2196-5625 CN 32-1884/TK

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Two-stage Robust Optimization for Assessment of PV Hosting Capacity Based on Decision-dependent Uncertainty  PDF

  • Haifeng Qiu 1 (Senior Member, IEEE)
  • Veerapandiyan Veerasamy 1 (Member, IEEE)
  • Chao Ning 2 (Member, IEEE)
  • Qirun Sun 3 (Graduate Student Member, IEEE)
  • Hoay Beng Gooi 1 (Fellow, IEEE)
1. School of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore639798; 2. Department of Automation, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai200240, China; 3. School of Electrical Engineering, Southeast University, Nanjing210096, China

Updated:2024-12-19

DOI:10.35833/MPCE.2023.000488

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Abstract

Photovoltaic (PV) generation always exhibits strong uncertainty and variability; therefore, its excessive integration brings huge risks to the safe operation of power systems. In this letter, a two-stage robust optimization approach based on decision-dependent uncertainty is devised to identify the PV hosting capacity that can be accepted to ensure the effective consumption of PV generation under uncertainty. The proposed approach is validated by numerical experiments for a microgrid and a distribution network.

I. Introduction

WITH the rapid advancement of distributed generation technology, more photovoltaic (PV) and energy storage (ES) systems are integrated into power systems [

1]. Nevertheless, PV generation cannot be precisely forecasted due to abrupt weather conditions, and its power uncertainty poses serious challenges to power system operation [2]. How to effectively identify the appropriate capacity of PV generation that can be accommodated is the primary problem that needs to be addressed for incorporating the integrated PV-ES systems into power systems [3].

To tackle this problem, research efforts have been devoted to the decision-making of PV hosting capacity [

4]. Some studies resort to two-stage robust optimization (TSRO) approaches to evaluate the PV hosting capacity in power systems and ensure its secure operation under arbitrary PV output uncertain fluctuations [5]. Nonetheless, it is worth mentioning that the uncertainty of PV generation is directly associated with its configured capacity. Hence, TSRO for PV hosting capacity is essentially a class of decision-dependent uncertainty (DDU) based problems, which is usually ignored in existing studies. As the uncertainty set varies with endogenous decisions, the traditional decision-independent uncertainty (DIU) based algorithm suffers from the issue of iterative oscillation while solving DDU-based problems [6], resulting in the modeling computation not converging to the solution.

To fill the above research gap, this letter proposes a novel TSRO approach based on DDU involving both modeling and algorithm aspects for the assessment of PV hosting capacity in power systems. A normalization scheme is devised to equivalently reformulate the resulting DDU-based model as a regular TSRO model, which facilitates the efficient solution to this complicated optimization problem.

II. Problem Formulation

The DDU-based TSRO model (M) for assessing the PV hosting capacity in power systems is developed in (1)-(19). The first-stage optimization maximizes the total PV hosting capacity ahead of uncertainty, and the second-stage model determines the feasible scheduling plans after realizations of source-load uncertainty under the corresponding capacity. In particular, the total power imbalance in the worst-case uncertainty scenario is minimized to be zero, i.e., the PV hosting capacity derived in the first stage shows guaranteed robustness.

M:maxx=CiPV,CiES,MiES+,MiES-i=1ICiPV (1)

s.t.

CiES=αiCiPVMiES+=βi+CiESMiES-=βi-CiES (2)
Φ=maxuΞminyb,yc,ξt=1Ti=1Iξit++ξit-+ζit++ζit-u=uitPV,uitLDyb=zitES+,zitES-,zitGL+,zitGL-yc=QitPV,PitES+,PitES-,QitES,Sit,PitGL+,PitGL-,           QitGL,QitLD,Pijt,Qijt,Iijt,Vitξ=ξit+,ξit-,ζit+,ζit- (3)

where x is the variable set of the first-stage optimization; CiPV and CiES are the capacities of the PV and ES at node i, respectively; MiES+ and MiES- are the maximal charging and discharging power of ES i, respectively; αi is the capacity ratio of the integrated PV and ES system; βi+ and βi- are the charging and discharging rates of ES i, respectively; ξit+ and ξit- are the sets of non-negative slack variables to depict the outflow and injection imbalance of active power at node i during period t, respectively; ζit+ and ζit- are the non-negative slack variables that describe the outflow and injection imbalance of reactive power at node i, respectively; Ξ is the polyhedral uncertainty set for source-load power; u, yb, yc, and ξ are the decision variable sets for the second stage Φ; uitLD and uitPV are the active load power and PV output at node i during period t, respectively; zitES+ and zitES- are the charging and discharging states of ES i, respectively; zitGL+ and zitGL- are the purchase and sell states of the grid-connected line (GL), respectively; QitPV is the reactive power of PV i; PitES+ and PitES- are the active charging and discharging power of ES i, respectively; QitES is the reactive power of ES i; Sit is the state of charge (SOC) for ES i; PitGL+ and PitGL- are the purchased and sold active power of GL i, respectively; QitGL is the reactive power of GL i; QitLD is the reactive power, demand of load i; Pijt, Qijt, and Iijt are the active power, reactive power and squared current magnitude on line ij, respectively; Vit is the squared voltage magnitude at node i; and T and I are the numbers of periods and nodes, respectively.

Equation (1) details the objective of the total PV capacity and the first-stage variable set x. The constraints of the first-stage optimization are stated in (2). Specifically, the first sub-equation defines the configured ES capacity with an identified PV hosting capacity for the integrated PV-ES system at node i, and the second and third sub-equations describe the values of the maximal charging and discharging power corresponding to the capacity of ES i. Equation (3) presents the objective of the total power imbalance and the decision variable sets.

A. Uncertainty Set of Source-load Power

Ξ=uitPV,uitLDuitLD-uitLDuitLD+    i,tΔiLD-t=1TuitLD*t=1TuitLDΔiLD+t=1TuitLD*     iCiPVuitPV-uitPVCiPVuitPV+    i,tΔiPV-t=1TuitPV*t=1TuitPVCiPVΔiPV+t=1TuitPV*    i (4)

where [uitLD-, uitLD+] is the predicted interval of uitLD; uitLD* is the predicted nominal value of uitLD; [ΔiLD-, ΔiLD+] is the budget range of load uncertainty; [uitPV-, uitPV+] and uitPV* are the predicted interval and the nominal PV output per unit capacity, respectively; and [ΔiPV-, ΔiPV+] is the budget range of PV uncertainty.

Constraint (4) expresses the detailed polyhedral uncertainty set for source-load power. The first row limits the uncertainty of active load power within the predicted interval, and the second line controls the degree of load uncertainty, i.e., the total deviation between the uncertainty power uitLD and the predicted nominal value uitLD* throughout the whole horizon does not exceed the budget range. The third and fourth rows indicate the uncertainty of PV active power, which has similar meanings as the first and second rows. It can be observed that uitPV demonstrates DDU associated with the first-stage variable CiPV.

B. Constraints for Energy Storages

zitES++zitES-1    i,t (5)
0PitES+MiES+zitES+0PitES-MiES-zitES-    i,t (6)
-PitES++PitES-tancos-1pfiES,minQitESPitES++PitES-tancos-1pfiES,min    i,t (7)
Sit=Sit-1+PitES+Δtηich-PitES-Δt/ηidis    i,t (8)
SiminCiESSitSimaxCiESSiT=Si0=0.5CiES    i,t (9)

where MiES+and MiES- are the maximum allowable charging and discharging power of ES i, respectively; pfiES,min is the minimum power factor for ES operation; ηich and ηidis are the charging and discharging efficiencies, respectively; [Simin, Simax] is the proportional range of SOC for ES i; and SiT and Si0 are the final and initial SOC of ES i, respectively.

The scheduling constraints under uncertainty are illustrated in (5)-(19). Specifically, (5) restricts the charging and discharging states of ES i during period t, i.e., the ES cannot be charged and discharged simultaneously. This ensures the optimality and rationality of the operating state of the ES for the non-convex TSRO model [

7]. Constraint (6) ensures that the active charging power and discharging power of ES i are not higher than the maximal allowable power. This constraint contains bilinear terms which can be linearized via the Big-M method. Constraint (7) further limits the reactive power of ES i. Constraint (8) expresses the temporal evolution of the SOC for ES i. Constraint (9) shows that the SOC of ES i should be within the proportional range during every period [8]. Besides, the final SOC should be restored to its initial value, thereby providing a stable initial SOC of the ES for the next scheduling horizon.

C. Constraints for Grid-connected Lines

zitGL++zitGL-1    i,t (10)
0PitGL+MiGL+zitGL+0PitGL-MiGL-zitGL-    i,t (11)
PitGL+   PitGL-   QitGL2MiGL    i,t (12)

where MiGL+ and MiGL- are the maximal allowable purchase and sell power of GL i, respectively; and MiGL is the maximal capacity of GL i. Equation (10) constrains the purchase and sell states of the GL at node i during period t, i.e., the GL cannot purchase and sell power at the same time during any period. Constraint (11) guarantees that the active purchase and sell power of GL i does not exceed its maximal allowable power. After considering the reactive power of the GL, the second-order cone relaxation (SOCR) constraint (12) maintains that its apparent power does not exceed the maximal capacity.

D. Constraints for Renewable and Load Units

-uitPVtancos-1pfiPV,minQitPVuitPVtancos-1pfiPV,min    i,t (13)
QitLD=uitLDtancos-1pfiLD    i,t (14)

where pfiPV,min is the minimal power factor for PV i; and pfiLD is the constant power factor for load i.

The PV reactive power at node i is limited in (13). Equation (14) denotes the reactive power demand of load i. PVs and loads are considered as uncontrollable units in the scheduling.

E. Constraints for Power Systems

uitPV-uitLD+PitES--PitES++PitGL+-PitGL-+ξit+=        ξit-+jϑ(i)Pijt-s𝓁(i)Psit-rsiIsit    i,t (15)
QitPV-QitLD+QitES+QitGL+ζit+=      ζit-+jϑ(i)Qijt-s𝓁(i)Qsit-xsiIsit    i,t (16)
Vjt=Vit-2rijPijt+xijQijt+rij2+xij2Iijt    ij,t (17)
2Pijt 2Qijt Iijt-Vit2Iijt+Vit    ij,t (18)
Vimin2VitVimax2    i0IijtIijmax2    ij,t (19)

where rij and xij are the resistance and reactance of line ij, respectively; ϑ(i) and 𝓁(i) are the line sets with node i as parent and child nodes, respectively; Vimin and Vimax are the minimal and maximal voltage magnitudes at node i, respectively; and Iijmax is the maximal current capacity of line ij; Psit, Qsit, and Isit are the active power, reactive power, and squared current magnitude on line si, respectively; and rsi and xsi are the resistance and reactance of line si, respectively.

Constraints (15)-(19) support the DistFlow model for power networks in the formulation of SOCR. Specifically, (15) and (16) govern the active and reactive power balance at node i, respectively. For instance, if there is net active power inflow of node i during period t, ξit>0, ξit+=0; otherwise, if there is net active power outflow, ξit+>0, ξit=0. Equation (17) calculates the voltage drop on line ij with Ohm’s law. The power capacity of line ij is bounded by (18) after SOCR, and (19) further maintains the security of nodal voltage and line current.

III. Solution Algorithm

For ease of algorithmic demonstration, the DDU-based TSRO model formulated in Section II is abbreviated into the following compact model M1.

M1:maxxATxs.t.   Cxb        Φ=maxuΞminyb0,1,yc,ξ1Tξ        s.t.  Ξ=uF̲x+d̲uF¯x+d¯    Gyb+Hyc+1-1ξf-Jx-Ku    Lyc2myc+n (20)

where the objectives and constraints are described in matrices. Apart from the decision variables in each stage defined in Section II, the other matrices (A, C, b, F̲, d̲, F¯, d¯, G, H, f, J, K, L, m, and n) in M1 are constants with appropriate dimensions. It can be observed that the uncertainty variables u in M1 are affected by the first-stage variables x, and this model features DDU and binary recourses. As different optimal results of x in the first stage shake the feasible region of u, i.e., the uncertainty set Ξ is changing during the iterative solution, the classic nested column and constraint generation (C&CG) algorithm will encounter the issues of oscillation and non-convergence. To overcome this weakness, a normalization scheme is exploited to equate M1 into a regular TSRO model.

Proposition: M1 can be normalized as the following regular TSRO model M2.

M2:maxxATxs.t.  Cxb    Φ'=maxu'Ξ'minyb0,1,yc,ξ1Tξ    s.t.  Ξ'=u'0u'1    Gyb+Hyc+1-1ξf-Jx-           KF̲x+d̲+u'F¯x+d¯-F̲x-d̲    Lyc2myc+n (21)

where denotes the Hadamard product of vectors. In M2, Ξ' is no longer affected by the first-stage variables x, and u' is the DIU [

9]. Hence, M2 is a regular TSRO model.

Proof: to prove the above proposition, we only need to prove the following two claims.

1) Claim 1: for uΞ, there always exists u'Ξ' such that F̲x+d̲+u'F¯x+d¯-F̲x-d̲=u.

2) Claim 2: for u'Ξ', F̲x+d̲+u'F¯x+d¯-F̲x- d̲Ξ always holds.

For Claim 1, if F¯x+d¯-F̲x-d̲=0, then u' can take any value within [0,1]; if F¯x+d¯-F̲x-d̲>0, then 0u'1. Claim 1 is proven.

For Claim 2, for u'0, 1, we always have F̲x+d̲F̲x+d̲+u'F¯x+d¯-F̲x-d̲F¯x+d¯. Claim 2 is proven.

Based on Claim 1 and Claim 2, Ku in M1 is replaced by KF̠x+d̠+u'F¯x+d¯-F̲x-d̲, then Ξ can be directly extended to Ξ'. In this case, M1 is equivalent to M2.

M2 is a regular TSRO problem with binary recourses, which can be directly handled using the classic nested C&CG algorithm. This algorithm uses an outer C&CG procedure to decouple M2 into an iterative master-slave problem framework. The slave problem is further converted into an iterative problem containing the inner-loop master and slave problems via an inner C&CG procedure [

10]. The optimal results are finally derived by nested iterative computations.

A. Slave Problem

Substituting the optimal results x˜ from the master problem, the slave problem is then formulated as SP.

SP: maxu'Ξ'minyb0,1,yc,ξ1Tξs.t.  Ξ'=u'0u'1    Gyb+Hyc+1-1ξf-Jx˜-          KF̲x˜+d̲+u'F¯x˜+d¯-F̲x˜-d̲    Lyc2myc+n (22)

As yb indicates binary recourse variables, SP cannot be mathematically merged as one single-level max model by duality. It is further decomposed to an inner-loop slave and master iterative problems [

11], and the specific formulations are detailed as follows.

1) Inner-loop Slave Problem

Substituting the kth iterative results uk' from the inner-loop master problem, the inner-loop slave problem is written as ISP.

ISP: ϕ=minyb0,1,yc,ξ1Tξs.t.  Gyb+Hyc+1-1ξf-Jx˜-          KF̲x˜+d̲+uk'F¯x˜+d¯-F̲x˜-d̲   Lyc2myc+n (23)

The optimal results (yk+1b, yk+1c, ξk+1) are fed back to the inner-loop master problem.

2) Inner-loop Master Problem

After substituting yk+1b optimized by ISP, the inner-loop master problem is defined as IMP.

IMP: φ=maxu'Ξ',η,α,βϑ1,βϑ2ηs.t.  Ξ'=u'0u'1    ηαTf-Jx˜-Gyk+1b-KF̲x˜+d̲+              u'F¯x˜+d¯-F̲x˜-d̲-ϑnϑTβϑ2    βϑ12βϑ2    HTα+ϑLϑTβϑ1+mϑTβϑ2=0    -1α0    βϑ20    ϑ,k (24)

where η is an auxiliary variable to characterize the objective function; α is the dual variable corresponding to the first constraint on yc in ISP; βϑ1 and βϑ2 are the dual variables of the SOCR constraints on yc in ISP; ϑ is the dimension of the SOCR constraints [

12]; and u' is the collection of extreme points of Ξ', as the uncertainty set Ξ' is a polytope, which corresponds to binary variables.

The bilinear term αTu' is linearized using the Big-M method [

13], and IMP is equivalent to a mixed-integer second-order cone programming (MISOCP) problem. The optimal uk+1' is passed to ISP for the next iteration until the convergent solution (u˜', y˜c, y˜b) of SP is obtained.

B. Master Problem

The master problem is cast as MP after plugging the solution results ũ' from SP as u˜j'.

MP: maxx,ylb,ylcATxs.t.  Cxb    Gylb+Hylcf-Jx-       KF̲x+d̲+u˜l'F¯x+d¯-F̲x-d̲    Lylc2mylc+n    1lj (25)

where j is the iteration number of MP and SP, and the two problems are iteratively solved until convergence. The procedures of the nested C&CG algorithm for tackling a regular TSRO model with binary recourses can be referred to [

14].

IV. Numerical Experiments

To verify the effectiveness and superiority of the proposed approach, numerical experiments are implemented for a microgrid and a distribution network on four typical days. The tested microgrid is a practical 0.4 kV system in Singapore. PV and ES systems are integrated at node 4 with certain capacities, and the topology and basic operation parameters of this microgrid are given in Fig. 1 and Table I, respectively. The investigated distribution network is the IEEE 123-node system with a voltage base of 4.16 kV. The PV and ES systems are integrated at nodes 33, 67, 86, 97, 116, and 123, and the system parameters are available in [

15].

Fig. 1  Topology of tested microgrid.

TABLE I  BASIC OPERATION PARAMETERS OF TESTED MICROGRID
ParameterValueParameterValue
αi 0.2 I 4
βi+, βi- 0.5 T 48
ΔiPV-, ΔiPV+ (%) 92, 108 Δt (min) 30
ΔiLD-, ΔiLD+ (%) 98.5, 101.5 pfiLD 0.85
ηich, ηidis 0.98, 0.98 r12, x12 (Ω) 0.25, 0.083
Simin, Simax 0.2, 0.95 r23, x23 (Ω) 0.23, 0.075
MiGL+, MiGL- (kW) 25, 10 r24, x24 (Ω) 0.18, 0.058
MiGL (kVA) 30 Vimin, Vimax (p.u.) 1.05, 0.95
pfiES,min, pfiPV,min 0.98, 0.98 Iijmax (A) 120

The 24-hour scheduling horizon is divided into 48 periods. Therefore, the optimization model totally contains 4×48 periods. The predicted nominal active power of PV under unit hosting capacity (1 kW) of the four days under the Singapore environment is depicted in Fig. 2, and the predicted error of PV generation is ±15% of the nominal value. Besides, the predicted nominal curves of active load power for the typical days are also displayed in Fig. 2, and its predicted error is ±5%. The nodal load profiles of the IEEE 123-node system are scaled with their load capacities. For both tested systems, αi is defined as 0.2, and βi+=βi-=0.5.

Fig. 2  Predicted nominal PV and load active power on four typical days.

Multiple cases are also set for comparative analysis. Specifically, Case 1 is the proposed approach, Case 2 denotes the classic nested C&CG algorithm [

14], and Case 3 expresses the adaptive algorithm in [6]. The strong duality is adopted for constraint generation. All numerical simulations are performed on a 64-bit laptop with a 2.30 GHz CPU and 8 GB RAM, and the optimization is modeled and solved by MATLAB-R2018b calling YALMIP package and CPLEX-12.8 solver. The optimal results of all cases are reported in Table II.

TABLE II  OPTIMAL RESULTS OF ALL CASES
CaseMicrogridDistribution network
PV hosting capacity (kW)Outer-loop iterationTotal solution time (s)PV hosting capacity (kW)Outer-loop iterationTotal solution time (s)
1 38.6 4 25.2 7.252 5 43.4
2 Oscillation Non-convergence Oscillation Non-convergence
3 38.6 9 368.5 7.252 14 1693.8

According to Table II, for both systems, Case 1 converges after several outer-loop iterations, and the total solution time does not exceed 50 s. Case 2 directly resorts to the classic nested C&CG algorithm to address the TSRO problem with DDU, leading the iterative solution to jump back and forth among DDU. The phenomenon of oscillation occurs in Case 2, and the optimization cannot converge. The optimal objective of PV hosting capacity in Case 3 is almost the same as that in Case 1, indicating the optimality of the proposed approach. However, the total solution time of Case 3 is over ten times that in Case 1 because two slave problems are formulated in Case 3 for iterative computations. In addition, the enlargement of system size inevitably leads to the increase of solution time to a certain extent. For Cases 1 and 3, the total solution time increases by 172% and 459% from the microgrid to the distribution network, respectively. The computational performance of the proposed approach indicates its strong scalability.

V. Conclusion

This letter proposes a TSRO approach based on DDU to deal with the assessment problem of PV hosting capacity in power grids. The proposed approach efficiently overcomes the drawbacks of iterative oscillation and non-convergence in the classic algorithm under the influence of DDU, and considerably enhances the computational efficiency of such a complicated model. The proposed approach can be extended to a series of robust planning and scheduling problems containing DDU. It should be pointed that the non-anticipative issue in power system scheduling is not considered in this letter, as in other two-stage optimization studies; therefore, multi-stage RO approach with sequential DDU should be further investigated in future work.

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