Abstract
Heat exchanger systems (HXSs) or heat recovery steam generators (HRSGs) are commonly used in 100 kW to 50 MW combined cooling, heating, and power (CCHP) systems. Power flow coupling (PFC) is found in HXSs and is complex for researchers to quantify. This could possibly mislead the dispatch schedule and result in the inaccurate dispatch. PFC is caused by the inlet and outlet temperatures of each component, gas flow pressure variation, conductive medium flow rate, and atmosphere condition variation. In this paper, the expression of PFC is built by using quadratic functions to fit the nonlinearity of thermal dynamics. While fitting the model, the environmental condition needs prediction, which is calculated using phase space reconstruction (PSR) Kalman filter. In order to solve the complex quadratic dispatch model, a hybrid following electricity load (FEL) and following thermal load (FTL) mode for reducing the dimension of dispatch model, and a feasible zone analysis (FZA) method are proposed. As a result, the PFC problem of CCHP system is solved, and the dispatch cost, investment cost, and the maximum power requirements are optimized. In this paper, a case in Jinan, China is studied. The PFC model is proven to be more precise and accurate compared with traditional models.
COMBINED cooling, heating, and power (CCHP) systems have attracted researchers’ attention because of the high efficiency and low environmental impact [
Heat exchanger systems (HXSs) are commonly used for multiple strategies in small-scale, medium-scale, and large-scale CCHP systems. HXSs can improve the total capacity of the fuel consumption, with which the systems could completely recover the waste heating [
There are four main categories in thermodynamic modeling [
Researches show that the HXSs have multiple energy coupling loops [
PFC is not yet being considered in the dispatch models of CCHP systems and the above common facts about PFC are neglected in former CCHP researches. A CCHP dispatch model considering PFC has to be proposed.
Firstly, in order to precisely build the PFC models, efficient data should be prepared. A precise prediction of RESs, CCHP loads, and environmental factors (humidity and temperature) is proposed as a data backup of PFC models [
Secondly, due to the nonconvexity of PFC models, simplifying methods with few hypotheses need to be introduced to solve PFC models. The following load mode is used to simplify the calculation when solving PFC models. Two of the most common strategies are recognized as the following thermal load (FTL) mode and the following electricity load (FEL) mode. A hybrid FEL and FTL (FHL) mode is used in CCHP system recently and its impact is analyzed in [
Thirdly, the algorithm needs to be improved because most general algorithms are not able to solve quadratic models. The genetic algorithm (GA) and its improved method are used in [
The remainder of this paper is organized as follows. In Section II, the description of CCHP system and the corresponding methods are presented. In Section III, the optimization method is introduced. A case study is presented in Section IV. Statistic results are shown in Section V. In Section VI, significant conclusions of the proposed method are drawn.
The topologies of RES system and CCHP system are shown in

Fig. 1 Topologies of RES system and CCHP system.
The CCHP system is further divided into two parts, namely the MGT system and HXS system [

Fig. 2 MGT and HXS in CCHP system.
The efficiency of compressor is expressed as:
(1) |
where is the pressure ratio of compressor.
The required work of compressor is calculated as:
(2) |
where is the rate of the required work, also regarded as the input power of compressor; is the flow rate of compressor gas; is the humidity ratio; and and are the enthalpy of the medium at the inlet and outlet of compressor, respectively.
The heating energy of the fuel consumption cycle is expressed as:
(3) |
where is the thermal power of turbine; is the flow rate of fuel; is the fuel-to-air ratio; and is the enthalpy of the combusting cycle.
The output power of turbine is calculated as:
(4) |
where is the mass flow rate of turbine gas; and is the enthalpy at the inlet of the four series ABSs.
The power to the power grid is simply regarded as the subtraction of and , which is expressed as:
(5) |
The exergy balance equation and the mass balance equation for a steady system are given as:
(6) |
where is the work of each component; is the thermal consumption of the
The exergy of medium flow is calculated as:
(7) |
where is the specific entropy of the medium flow, ; , , and are the initial temperature, enthalpy, and specific entropy, respectively. The detail enthalpy calculation of four series ABSs is shown in [
When calculating (6), the temperature, pressure, and moisture of the inlet and outlet are required. However, in order to improve the dynamic performance of the CCHP system, it is necessary to use the prediction data of the above variables in advance, rather than the historical data.
Compared with other methods, the Kalman filter has advantages in predicting CCHP loads and RESs at the same time. However, the Kalman filter needs the sequences with more dimensions to ensure its accuracy. The sequences for predicting CCHP loads and RESs have limited dimensions. In order to have a precise prediction, the dimensions of input sequences have to be increased.
Tokens theorem of embedding reveals that, when enough dimensions are embedded, should be satisfied, where m is the number of the embedded dimensions; and D is the number of the dynamic system dimensions [
This procedure is regarded as the phase space reconstitution (PSR) [
(8) |
where .
The system state is rearranged in the matrix X and sent to the Kalman filter. The flow chart of Kalman filter is shown in

Fig. 3 Flow chart of Kalman filter.
A hybrid objective function considering the area and the operation cost is proposed in this section. Each objective function is evaluated separately. The function of annual total cost (ATC) of CCHP system is expressed as:
(9) |
where ATC is the annual total cost; and , , , , and are the capital cost, maintenance cost, fuel cost, electricity cost, and replacement cost, respectively.
The capital cost is from initializing the CCHP system, which is expressed as:
(10) |
where is the capacity of installing component ; and is the unit cost of component .
The maintenance cost is evaluated by:
(11) |
where is the first-year maintenance cost; is the inflation rate; is the maximum operation year; and is the depreciation rate.
The electricity cost and the fuel cost are expressed as:
(12) |
(13) |
where and are the unit prices of electricity from power grid and fuel, respectively; is the electricity from power grid at time ; and and are the fuel consumptions of and GF at time , respectively.
The replacement cost is expressed as:
(14) |
where is the annual interest rate; is the operation year of CCHP system; and is the maximum operation year of component j.
In this section, a quadratic dispatch model is built to quantify PFC models. Compared with the linear dispatch models proposed in [
Firstly, few conclusions of [
Moreover, we need to control the cooling, heating, and power outputs of the CCHP system, respectively. Varying the low-pressure pinch point or pressure would change the cooling output without changing the heating or power output, while varying the high-pressure pinch point or pressure would change both heating and cooling outputs without changing the power output. The power output could be adjusted by increasing or decreasing the turbine inlet temperature (), but it could change the cooling and heating outputs simultaneously.
Obviously, the above conclusions reveal a coupling relationship among the three outputs. For example, when the TIT changes from 1300 K to 1400 K, the power output changes from 19.23 MW to 23.64 MW; meanwhile, the heating output changes from 24.65 MW to 31.25 MW, and the cooling output changes from 6.96 MW to 4.51 MW. Obviously, if we need to enhance the power output of the CCHP system, a correction for heating and cooling is required. According to the above results, the power of PFC models are assumed to be between 1% and 5% of the total system power.
The PFC models contain five dispatch variables to determine a unique operation point (or the so-called dispatch state), which includes the electricity from MGT , the heating from GF , the electricity from power grid , the cooling from ABS , and the cooling from COM . The first stage of the operation is to solve the optimized operation point of the CCHP system in an hour.
The operation point is expressed as follows.
(15) |
where is the electricity from RES system; is the requirement of electricity load; is the electricity consumption of HRSG to generate heating and cooling; is the fuel consumption of MGT; and is the efficiency of fuel-to-electricity in the MGT.
(16) |
where is the requirement of heating load; is the heating consumption of HRSG to generate cooling; is the efficiency of fuel-to-heating in the GF; and is the heating loss of PFC during the generation, which is related to the variation of electricity and cooling.
(17) |
where is the requirement of cooling load; and is the cooling loss of PFC during the generation, which is related to the variation of heating and electricity.
In Section I, PFC is defined as: when one state of a single component in HXS changes, the independent parameters of other components would be possibly influenced to be changed, resulting in dispatch deviations.
The PFC is a product of two decision variables, which is expressed as:
(18) |
(19) |
(20) |
where , and are the PFC of electricity and heating, the PFC of heating and cooling, and the PFC of electricity and cooling, respectively.
We assume that the power at time t is detectable, and the power at time t+1 is to be dispatched. Thus, the PFC model is a product of two decision variables. The first parts of (18)-(20) represent the power changes of the initial PFC components during the dispatch period , and the second parts represent the power of the response components. For instance, is explained as the power change of GF caused by per-unit power change of the MGT. Similar definition is suitable for and .
There are totally three constraint equations and five decision variables, and the feasible zone analysis (FZA) method is based on the coordinate of three decision variables , , and . The rest two decision variables and are expressed in equivalence with partial load between FTL mode and FEL mode. Thus, the FHL mode is proposed to reduce the dispatch model by two dimensions.
In this section, the global variable is defined as the ratio of FTL to FEL. As shown in

Fig 4 Ratio of FTL to FEL.
When , it is obvious that the thermal energy is more expensive. Thus, it is cheaper to generate cooling by using electricity. Under this condition, the heating load is fully supplied by the MGT, the cooling load is fully supplied by the COM, and the insufficient electricity is supplied from the power grid.
To conclude, when the ratio of FTL to FEL is at , of the electricity load and cooling load are satisfied by MGT and ABS, respectively. Meanwhile, () of the electricity load and cooling load are satisfied by power grid and COM, respectively.
When is determined, two of the above five variables are replaced with certain values, so it is used to reduce dispatch state from 5-dimension to 3-dimension. If we scan from to , it is possible to obtain an optimal result with a set of 3-dimension images.
In this paper, a 3-dimension coordinate with x-axis for , y-axis for and z-axis for , is constructed to illustrate the feasible analysis. The system feasible points (FPs) in full FTL mode (K%=0) and 50% FTL mode (K%=50%) are shown in Figs.

Fig 5 FP in full FTL mode.

Fig 6 FP in 50% FTL mode.
The minimum electricity generation is fixed on the electricity curved surface. Obviously, the minimum heating generation and cooling generation can also be determined. The intersection of the three curved surfaces is assumed as the FP.
The FP contains lower values of decision variables for , , and . The solution for two hidden decision variables and are expressed as:
(21) |
(22) |
where COP is the coefficient of performance, which represents the efficiency of cooling; is the heating consumption of the ABS; and , , , , and are the fitting parameters.
Obviously, in a dispatch schedule, each from 0% to 100% corresponds to an FP. The optimization of dispatch schedule is equal to finding the optimal FP and by using the FZA method.
A typical dispatch schedule of CCHP system in March in Jinan, China is studied in this section. The monthly climate monitoring is uploaded hourly, and there are monitoring points in total. To examine the accuracy of the proposed method, the first 15-day data are used as the known database, and the late 16-day data are detected and optimized by the proposed method, which includes points. The Pearson correlation results of load and RES prediction are shown in
Note: CL represents the cooling load; EL represents the electricity load; HL represents the heating load; WS represents the wind speed; SI represents the solar irradiance; HU represents the humidity; and TE represents the temperature.
It can be observed that the wind speed is almost not related to other parameters, so that the prediction is divided into the Kalman filter prediction with the wind speed and the Kalman filter prediction with other parameters.
According to the prediction result, the proposed FZA method is used to optimize the operation point and the dispatch schedule.
The operation power of components in the 25

Fig 7 Operation power of components in the 25

Fig. 8 Operation cost of system in the 25
In this section, the statistic results of the traditional and the proposed optimization are contrasted. The traditional optimization uses GA (without PFC models) [
The dispatch schedules of each component solved by GA and FZA are shown in Appendix A. Both schedules obtain accurate power delivery with small errors ( W for FZA and W for GA, respectively). However, the average power, the standard deviation (STD), and the maximum power of each component are very different. The statistic results solved by GA and FZA are shown in Figs.

Fig 9 Average power of dispatch schedules solved by GA and FZA.

Fig 10 STD of dispatch schedules solved by GA and FZA.

Fig 11 The maximum power of dispatch schedules solved by GA and FZA.
Due to the influence of PFC, the power occupation of MGT needs to be higher in order to eliminate the fluctuation caused by GF and ABS. Meanwhile, the MGT is more economical for purchasing electricity or heating generation. Thus, the cost of the proposed optimization is slightly lower than that without PFC models. The power of PFC models is assumed to be between 1% and 5% of the total system power, which causes approximately 0.67% of the dispatch savings.
Without PFC models, much power fluctuation would be neglected so that the system needs additional power to satisfy all the loads. Thus, the STD increases and it is not benefitial to CCHPs, which would cause larger dispatch transient, temperature and pressure variation, and waste of power supply.
Due to the higher power occupation of MGT, the system makes a higher use of the cogeneration. The lower STD reduces the investment of components as well.
If the power of PFC models are assumed to be between 1% and 5%, the least investment of components would be doubled according to the calculation results in
Compared with traditional optimization, the proposed optimization has higher power from MGT and ABS, lower power from GF and COM, and similar power from the power grid. The PFC model is an explanation of the interaction among MGT, GF, and ABS. It is obvious that the average power of the three components would be different considering PFC models. The proposed optimization results have significant improvements in the STD and the maximum power.
Appendix
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